skip to main content skip to footer

Probability-Based Inference in a Domain of Proportional Reasoning Tasks

Author(s):
Beland, Anne; Mislevy, Robert J.
Publication Year:
1992
Report Number:
RR-92-15-ONR
Source:
ETS Research Report
Document Type:
Report
Page Count:
58
Subject/Key Words:
Office of Naval Research, Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Measurement, Inferences, Logical Thinking, Probability, Test Theory

Abstract

Educators and psychologists are increasingly interested in modeling the processes and knowledge structures by which people learn and solve problems. Progress has been made in developing cognitive models in several domains, and in devising observational settings that provide clues about subjects' cognition from this perspective. Less attention has been paid to procedures for inference or decision-making with such information, given that it provides only imperfect information about cognition--in short, test theory for cognitive assessment. This paper describes probability-based inference in this context, and illustrates its application with an example concerning proportional reasoning. (58pp.)

Read More