A Bayesian Solution for Some Educational Prediction Problems
- Author(s):
- Lindley, D. V.
- Publication Year:
- 1969
- Report Number:
- RB-69-57
- Source:
- ETS Research Bulletin
- Document Type:
- Report
- Page Count:
- 26
- Subject/Key Words:
- Bayesian Statistics, College Admission, Mathematical Formulas, Mathematical Models, Prediction, Statistical Analysis
Abstract
The paper considers a single college selecting students from a variety of high schools. It criticizes the usual statistical analysis and proposes an alternative procedure which uses more efficiently all information that is present in the system. The bulk of the paper consists of a mathematical appendix in which some general theory is developed which, it is expected, will be of value in studying other more complex prediction systems besides the one discussed here.
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- http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/j.2333-8504.1969.tb00735.x